Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 21, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
3 - 0
Legia

Insigne (76'), Osimhen (80'), Politano (90+5')
Jesus (13'), Manolas (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Johansson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Napoli and Legia Warsaw, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Legia Warsaw
51.07%	21.99%	26.94%

Both teams to score 63.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.45%

35.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.4%

57.6%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.78%

14.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.04%

41.96%

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.57%

25.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75%

60.25%

Score Analysis

Napoli 51.07%

Legia Warsaw 26.94%

Draw 21.99%

Napoli	Draw	Legia Warsaw
2-1 @ 9.42% 1-0 @ 7.05% 2-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 6.12% 3-0 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 4.19% 4-1 @ 2.99% 4-0 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 2.04% 5-1 @ 1.17% 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.62% Total : 51.07%	1-1 @ 9.66% 2-2 @ 6.45% 0-0 @ 3.62% 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.99%	1-2 @ 6.61% 0-1 @ 4.95% 0-2 @ 3.39% 1-3 @ 3.02% 2-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 1.55% 1-4 @ 1.03% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.44% Total : 26.94%