Europa League
Oct 21, 2021 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Juan Jesus 13' yellowcard
  • Kostas Manolas 44' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 76' goal
  • Victor Osimhen 80' goal
  • Matteo Politano 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Mattias Johansson 73'

Napoli vs Legia Warsaw - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 30, 2021 5.45pm
Napoli 2 - 3 Spartak Moscow

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 30, 2021 5.45pm
Legia 1 - 0 Leicester

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result

Napoli 51.07%
Draw 21.99%
Legia Warsaw 26.94%

Both Teams to Score: 

63.97%

Goals

Over 2.5 64.45%
Under 2.5 35.55%
Over 3.5 42.4%
Under 3.5 57.6%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 85.78%
Under 0.5 14.22%
Over 1.5 58.04%
Under 1.5 41.96%

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 74.57%
Under 0.5 25.43%
Over 1.5 39.75%
Under 1.5 60.25%

Score analysis

Napoli 51.07%
Draw 21.99%
Legia Warsaw 26.94%
Napoli
2-1 @ 9.42%
1-0 @ 7.05%
2-0 @ 6.88%
3-1 @ 6.12%
3-0 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 4.19%
4-1 @ 2.99%
4-0 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 2.04%
5-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 51.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.66%
2-2 @ 6.45%
0-0 @ 3.62%
3-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.99%
Legia Warsaw
1-2 @ 6.61%
0-1 @ 4.95%
0-2 @ 3.39%
1-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 1.55%
1-4 @ 1.03%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 26.94%

Head to Head

Europa League
Dec 10, 2015 6.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Nathaniel Chalobah 32' goal
  • Lorenzo Insigne 39' goal
  • Ivan Strinic 55' yellowcard
  • Jose Callejon 57' goal
  • Dries Mertens 65' goal
  • Nathaniel Chalobah 89' yellowcard
  • Dries Mertens 90' goal
  • goal Stojan Vranjes 62'
  • goal Aleksandar Prijovic 92'
Europa League
Oct 1, 2015 8.05pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jakub Rzezniczak 44' yellowcard
  • goal Dries Mertens 53'
  • goal Gonzalo Higuain 84'