Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 30, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego

Legia
1 - 0
Leicester

Madatov (31')
Pesqueira (52'), Madatov (83'), Pekhart (88'), Mladenovic (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomas (21'), Maddison (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Legia Warsaw and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.35%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Legia Warsaw	Draw	Leicester City
31.5%	22.37%	46.13%

Both teams to score 65.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.66%

34.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.75%

56.25%

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78%

21.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.69%

55.3%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.54%

15.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.67%

44.33%

Score Analysis

Legia Warsaw 31.5%

Leicester City 46.13%

Draw 22.37%

Legia Warsaw	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 7.28% 1-0 @ 5.15% 2-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.41% Total : 31.5%	1-1 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 6.8% 0-0 @ 3.4% 3-3 @ 2.13% Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.37%	1-2 @ 8.97% 0-1 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 5.58% 2-3 @ 4.23% 0-3 @ 3.69% 1-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.72% 3-4 @ 1% 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.11% Total : 46.13%