EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

The Den

Millwall
0 - 2
Leicester

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lookman (50'), Iheanacho (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Millwall and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Leicester City
28.35%	26.07%	45.58%

Both teams to score 51.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.24%

52.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.61%

74.39%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.64%

33.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.02%

69.98%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91%

23.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.06%

56.94%

Score Analysis

Millwall 28.35%

Leicester City 45.58%

Draw 26.07%

Millwall	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 6.81% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.35%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 11.29% 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-2 @ 8.27% 1-3 @ 4.44% 0-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.58%