Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
| 36.7% | 25.14% | 38.16% |
| Both teams to score 57.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.7% | 46.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.41% | 68.59% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.28% | 24.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.73% | 59.27% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.06% | 23.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.84% | 58.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.96% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.85% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 5.91% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 8.46% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 6.05% 1-3 @ 4.03% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.03% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2% Total : 38.16% |