Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 30, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 0
Lokomotiv

Basic (13'), Patric (38')
Cataldi (45+2'), Lazzari (67')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Beka Beka (47'), Rybchinsky (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lazio and Lokomotiv Moscow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 17.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.72%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Lokomotiv Moscow
56.23%	26.59%	17.18%

Both teams to score 37.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.21%

63.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.96%

83.03%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.93%

23.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.1%

56.89%

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.16%

50.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.77%

85.23%

Score Analysis

Lazio 56.22%

Lokomotiv Moscow 17.18%

Draw 26.58%

Lazio	Draw	Lokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 17.19% 2-0 @ 12.61% 2-1 @ 8.54% 3-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 4.17% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.34% Total : 56.22%	0-0 @ 11.72% 1-1 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 2.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 7.93% 1-2 @ 3.94% 0-2 @ 2.68% Other @ 2.63% Total : 17.18%