Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 26, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
3 - 2
Roma

Milinkovic-Savic (10'), Pedro (19'), Anderson (63')
Leiva (25'), Cataldi (87')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ibanez (41'), Veretout (69' pen.)
Patricio (11'), Cristante (45+2'), Vina (48'), Mourinho (61'), Veretout (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Roma
44.88%	23.45%	31.67%

Both teams to score 61.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.43%

39.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.08%

61.92%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.02%

17.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.18%

48.82%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.56%

24.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.13%

58.87%

Score Analysis

Lazio 44.88%

Roma 31.67%

Draw 23.45%

Lazio	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 9.12% 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.77% Total : 44.88%	1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.39% 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 7.48% 0-1 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.67%