Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Roma |
44.88% | 23.45% | 31.67% |
Both teams to score 61.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.43% | 39.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.08% | 61.92% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.02% | 17.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.18% | 48.82% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.56% | 24.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.13% | 58.87% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 9.12% 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.77% Total : 44.88% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.39% 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-1 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
> Serie A Full Table |