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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Udinese logo

Roma
1 - 0
Udinese

Abraham (36')
Pellegrini (56'), Cristante (65'), Calafiori (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Walace (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Roma and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 71.65%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 11.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawUdinese
71.65%17.05%11.29%
Both teams to score 50.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.7%38.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.41%60.58%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.57%9.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.31%31.68%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.1%43.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.96%80.03%
Score Analysis
    Roma 71.64%
    Udinese 11.29%
    Draw 17.05%
RomaDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 11.53%
1-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 9.5%
3-0 @ 9.09%
3-1 @ 7.48%
4-0 @ 5.37%
4-1 @ 4.42%
3-2 @ 3.08%
5-0 @ 2.54%
5-1 @ 2.09%
4-2 @ 1.82%
6-0 @ 1%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 71.64%
1-1 @ 8.05%
0-0 @ 4.14%
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 17.05%
0-1 @ 3.41%
1-2 @ 3.31%
0-2 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.07%
1-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 11.29%

How you voted: Roma vs Udinese

Roma
89.8%
Draw
8.1%
Udinese
2.0%
197