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Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 16, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico

Roma
5 - 1
CSKA Sofia

Pellegrini (25', 62'), El Shaarawy (38'), Mancini (82'), Abraham (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Carey (10')
Wildschut (67'), Lam (90')
Wildschut (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Roma and CSKA Sofia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 71.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 6.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 24.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (19.55%) and 3-0 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.13%), while for a CSKA Sofia win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawCSKA Sofia
71.19%22.77%6.03%
Both teams to score 19.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.3%70.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.32%87.67%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96%20.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.75%52.25%
CSKA Sofia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
24.46%75.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
3.27%96.73%
Score Analysis
    Roma 71.18%
    CSKA Sofia 6.03%
    Draw 22.76%
RomaDrawCSKA Sofia
1-0 @ 24.33%
2-0 @ 19.55%
3-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 5.49%
4-0 @ 4.21%
3-1 @ 2.94%
5-0 @ 1.35%
4-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 71.18%
0-0 @ 15.13%
1-1 @ 6.83%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 22.76%
0-1 @ 4.25%
1-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 6.03%

How you voted: Roma vs CSKA Sofia

Roma
84.7%
Draw
8.0%
CSKA Sofia
7.3%
137