Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Roma had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Napoli |
| 34.62% | 24.63% | 40.75% |
| Both teams to score 58.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.79% | 44.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.41% | 66.59% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% | 24.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.45% | 59.54% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.28% | 21.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.12% | 54.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% 1-0 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 5.23% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.62% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-1 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.75% |