Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Salernitana |
| 63.85% | 21.19% | 14.96% |
| Both teams to score 47.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.75% | 48.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.6% | 70.4% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% | 14.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.63% | 42.37% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.52% | 44.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.49% | 80.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Salernitana |
| 1-0 @ 12.42% 2-0 @ 12.02% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 6.29% 4-0 @ 3.76% 4-1 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.23% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.4% Total : 63.83% | 1-1 @ 10.06% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.76% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 5.2% 1-2 @ 4.08% 0-2 @ 2.11% 1-3 @ 1.1% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.41% Total : 14.96% |