Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Lazio |
| 59.45% | 22.58% | 17.97% |
| Both teams to score 49.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.18% | 48.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.08% | 70.92% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.95% | 16.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.58% | 45.42% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.05% | 40.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.49% | 77.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 12.02% 2-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 5.99% 4-0 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.09% Total : 59.44% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 5.87% 1-2 @ 4.79% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.96% Total : 17.97% |