Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sassuolo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lazio |
| 45.16% | 24.14% | 30.7% |
| Both teams to score 59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.73% | 43.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.33% | 65.67% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.66% | 19.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.88% | 51.11% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% | 26.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.84% | 62.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lazio |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.19% Total : 45.16% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-1 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.7% |