Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 12, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Sassuolo2 - 1Lazio
We said: Sassuolo 2-3 Lazio
It is difficult to see this encounter ending without a flurry of goals, as part of the Azzurri strikeforce which helped Italy win the Euros will be on display - with Immobile and Berardi being in particularly fine form. Though Lazio have struggled to make a mark away from their Roman headquarters, they can strike on the counter to seal victory - establishing a significant points gap between the two clubs. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sassuolo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lazio |
| 45.16% | 24.14% | 30.7% |
| Both teams to score 59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
