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Serie A
Genoa logo
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Milan logo

Genoa
0 - 3
AC Milan


Masiello (67'), Rovella (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ibrahimovic (10'), Messias (45+2', 61')
Gabbia (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Genoa and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Genoa 1-2 AC Milan

 Although Milan have been far from their best in recent days, the opportunity to take on Genoa should present them with a straightforward three points to steady the ship a little, before greater tests to come. A distinct lack of goal threat from the hosts should embolden their more illustrious visitors, who have scored goals from numerous sources this term and will find a way through at least once over the course of 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
GenoaDrawAC Milan
20.75%22.14%57.11%
Both teams to score 55.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02%42.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.62%65.38%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43%34.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71%71.29%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17%14.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86%43.14%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 20.75%
    AC Milan 57.11%
    Draw 22.13%
GenoaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 5.52%
1-0 @ 5.45%
2-0 @ 2.89%
3-1 @ 1.95%
3-2 @ 1.87%
3-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 20.75%
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 5.27%
0-0 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-1 @ 9.79%
0-2 @ 9.34%
1-3 @ 6.31%
0-3 @ 5.94%
2-3 @ 3.35%
1-4 @ 3.01%
0-4 @ 2.83%
2-4 @ 1.6%
1-5 @ 1.15%
0-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 57.11%

How you voted: Genoa vs AC Milan

Genoa
8.7%
Draw
7.9%
AC Milan
83.5%
127
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
2-1
Genoa
Rebic (13'), Scamacca (68' og.)
Destro (37')
Goldaniga (26')
> Preview
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Genoa
2-2
AC Milan
Destro (47', 60')
Pellegrini (18'), Radovanovic (87')
Calabria (52'), Kalulu (83')
Romagnoli (25'), Castillejo (54'), Leao (83')
> Preview
Mar 8, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 26
AC Milan
1-2
Genoa
Ibrahimovic (77')
Pandev (7'), Cassata (41')
Oct 5, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Genoa
1-2
AC Milan
Schone (41')
Zapata (23'), Lerager (64'), Schone (67'), Romero (88')
Saponara (45'), Biraschi (57')
Hernandez (51'), Kessie (57' pen.)
Calabria (43'), Biglia (62'), Paqueta (84')
Calabria (79'), Castillejo (94')
Jan 21, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 20
Genoa
0-2
AC Milan

Romero (41'), Rolon (70'), Zukanovic (77')
Borini (72'), Suso (83')
Borini (8'), Cutrone (45'), Paqueta (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149
> Serie A Full Table


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