Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | AC Milan |
20.75% | 22.14% | 57.11% |
Both teams to score 55.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.02% | 42.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.62% | 65.38% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.43% | 34.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.71% | 71.29% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.17% | 14.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.86% | 43.14% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 5.52% 1-0 @ 5.45% 2-0 @ 2.89% 3-1 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.05% Total : 20.75% | 1-1 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 5.27% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-1 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 9.34% 1-3 @ 6.31% 0-3 @ 5.94% 2-3 @ 3.35% 1-4 @ 3.01% 0-4 @ 2.83% 2-4 @ 1.6% 1-5 @ 1.15% 0-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.79% Total : 57.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 60 | 83 |
2 | AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
6 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
8 | Napoli | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
9 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Monza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
14 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Udinese | 31 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 27 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |