Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Andrea Masiello 67' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Rovella 73' yellowcard
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 10'
  • yellowcard Matteo Gabbia 32'
  • goal Junior Messias 45'+2'
  • goal Junior Messias 61'

Genoa vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions
Last game
Nov 28, 2021 11.30am
Udinese 0 - 0 Genoa
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Mattia Destro

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Nov 28, 2021 2.00pm
AC Milan 1 - 3 Sassuolo
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

Genoa 20.75%
Draw 22.14%
AC Milan 57.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.72%

Goals

Over 2.5 57.02%
Under 2.5 42.98%
Over 3.5 34.62%
Under 3.5 65.38%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5 65.43%
Under 0.5 34.57%
Over 1.5 28.71%
Under 1.5 71.29%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 85.17%
Under 0.5 14.83%
Over 1.5 56.86%
Under 1.5 43.14%

Score analysis

Genoa 20.75%
Draw 22.13%
AC Milan 57.11%
Genoa
2-1 @ 5.52%
1-0 @ 5.45%
2-0 @ 2.89%
3-1 @ 1.95%
3-2 @ 1.87%
3-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 20.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 5.27%
0-0 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.13%
AC Milan
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-1 @ 9.79%
0-2 @ 9.34%
1-3 @ 6.31%
0-3 @ 5.94%
2-3 @ 3.35%
1-4 @ 3.01%
0-4 @ 2.83%
2-4 @ 1.6%
1-5 @ 1.15%
0-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 57.11%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 31
Apr 18, 2021 11.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ante Rebic 13' goal
  • Gianluca Scamacca 68' goal
  • yellowcard Edoardo Goldaniga 26'
  • goal Mattia Destro 37'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luca Pellegrini 18' yellowcard
  • Mattia Destro 47' goal
  • Mattia Destro 60' goal
  • Ivan Radovanovic 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 25'
  • goal Davide Calabria 52'
  • yellowcard Samu Castillejo 54'
  • goal Pierre Kalulu 83'
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 83'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Mar 8, 2020 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Giuseppe Meazza
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 77' goal
  • goal Goran Pandev 7'
  • goal Francesco Cassata 41'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2019 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris (Genova)
  • Cristian Zapata 23' yellowcard
  • Lasse Schone 41' goal
  • Riccardo Saponara 45' redcard
  • Davide Biraschi 57' redcard
  • Lukas Lerager 64' yellowcard
  • Lasse Schone 67' yellowcard
  • Cristian Romero 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 43'
  • goal Theo Hernandez 51'
  • goal Franck Kessie 57'
  • yellowcard Lucas Biglia 62'
  • redcard Davide Calabria 79'
  • yellowcard Lucas Paqueta 84'
  • redcard Samu Castillejo 94'
Serie A Gameweek 20
Jan 21, 2019 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris (Genova)
  • Cristian Romero 41' yellowcard
  • Esteban Rolon 70' yellowcard
  • Ervin Zukanovic 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Borini 8'
  • yellowcard Patrick Cutrone 45'
  • yellowcard Lucas Paqueta 58'
  • goal Fabio Borini 72'
  • goal Suso 83'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Oct 31, 2018 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
  • Suso 4' goal
  • Franck Kessie 50' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Rodriguez 83' yellowcard
  • Alessio Romagnoli 90' goal
  • yellowcard Domenico Criscito 43'
  • goal Alessio Romagnoli 56' (OG)
  • yellowcard Miguel Veloso 80'