Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Juventus in this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Genoa |
| 68.91% | 18.65% | 12.44% |
| Both teams to score 48.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.28% | 42.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.87% | 65.13% |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.7% | 11.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.05% | 35.94% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.16% | 44.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.19% | 80.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Genoa |
| 2-0 @ 12.04% 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 7.02% 4-0 @ 4.77% 4-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.82% 5-0 @ 2.08% 5-1 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.68% Total : 68.91% | 1-1 @ 8.86% 0-0 @ 5.07% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.84% Total : 18.65% | 0-1 @ 4.07% 1-2 @ 3.55% 0-2 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.04% 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.2% Total : 12.44% |