Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.78%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 53.78% | 22.26% | 23.96% |
| Both teams to score 59.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.32% | 39.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.97% | 62.03% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.22% | 14.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.96% | 43.04% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% | 29.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.05% | 65.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% 1-0 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 6.21% 3-0 @ 5.14% 3-2 @ 3.76% 4-1 @ 2.97% 4-0 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.78% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 4.41% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-1 @ 5.34% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.08% Total : 23.96% |