Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Benevento |
| 50.26% | 24.22% | 25.52% |
| Both teams to score 54.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.98% | 47.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% | 69.27% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.26% | 18.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.88% | 50.12% |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% | 32.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.91% | 69.09% |
| Score Analysis |
Fiorentina 50.26%
Benevento 25.52%
Draw 24.22%
| Fiorentina | Draw | Benevento |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 5.36% 3-0 @ 4.77% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.26% Total : 50.26% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.85% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 3.84% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.54% Total : 25.52% |
How you voted: Fiorentina vs Benevento
Fiorentina
90.1%Draw
7.0%Benevento
2.8%71


