Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 46.62% | 24.92% | 28.46% |
| Both teams to score 54.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.06% | 47.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.89% | 70.11% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% | 20.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.84% | 53.15% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% | 30.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.98% | 67.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.62% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.34% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.47% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 3% Total : 28.46% |