Serie A Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nikola Milenkovic 11' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 31' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 51' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 84' goal
  • Youssef Maleh 90' goal
  • yellowcard Grigoris Kastanos 20'

Fiorentina vs Salernitana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Dec 5, 2021 11.30am
Bologna 2 - 3 Fiorentina
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Dusan Vlahovic

Salernitana

All competitions
Last game
Dec 4, 2021 2.00pm
AC Milan 2 - 0 Salernitana
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Federico Bonazzoli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result

Fiorentina 66.61%
Draw 19.53%
Salernitana 13.85%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.03%

Goals

Over 2.5 56.61%
Under 2.5 43.39%
Over 3.5 34.21%
Under 3.5 65.79%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 87.88%
Under 0.5 12.12%
Over 1.5 62.3%
Under 1.5 37.69%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 56.93%
Under 0.5 43.07%
Over 1.5 20.65%
Under 1.5 79.35%

Score analysis

Fiorentina 66.6%
Draw 19.53%
Salernitana 13.85%
Fiorentina
2-0 @ 11.62%
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 6.89%
4-0 @ 4.32%
4-1 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.9%
5-0 @ 1.82%
5-1 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 66.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.28%
0-0 @ 5.22%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 19.53%
Salernitana
0-1 @ 4.4%
1-2 @ 3.91%
0-2 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.16%
1-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 13.85%