Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 15.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Napoli |
| 15.12% | 20.55% | 64.33% |
| Both teams to score 49.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.8% | 45.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.45% | 67.55% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.6% | 42.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.22% | 78.77% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% | 13.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.82% | 40.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 4.85% 2-1 @ 4.19% 2-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.21% 3-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.59% Total : 15.12% | 1-1 @ 9.77% 0-0 @ 5.65% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.55% | 0-2 @ 11.47% 0-1 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-3 @ 7.71% 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-4 @ 3.89% 1-4 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.84% 0-5 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.43% 1-5 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.9% Total : 64.32% |