Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Salernitana |
| 39.01% | 27.09% | 33.89% |
| Both teams to score 50.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.07% | 54.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.79% | 76.21% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% | 27.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.07% | 62.93% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% | 30.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.22% | 66.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Salernitana |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.01% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 5.9% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.89% |