Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 17.99% | 20.73% | 61.28% |
| Both teams to score 55.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.26% | 40.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.88% | 63.12% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% | 36.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.07% | 72.93% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.18% | 12.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.84% | 39.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 4.93% 1-0 @ 4.72% 2-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 1.72% 3-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.55% Total : 17.99% | 1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 5.06% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.73% | 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.78% 0-1 @ 9.52% 1-3 @ 6.81% 0-3 @ 6.7% 1-4 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 3.47% 0-4 @ 3.44% 2-4 @ 1.78% 1-5 @ 1.44% 0-5 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.5% Total : 61.28% |