Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Lazio in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Lazio |
| 31.57% | 25.5% | 42.93% |
| Both teams to score 54.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.04% | 48.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.96% | 71.04% |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% | 29.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% | 65.02% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% | 22.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.62% | 56.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 8.16% 2-1 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 5.04% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.57% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 9.8% 1-2 @ 8.96% 0-2 @ 7.26% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.18% Total : 42.93% |