Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Lazio in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lazio.