Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 78.51%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 7.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.86%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.6%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Venezia |
| 78.51% | 13.91% | 7.57% |
| Both teams to score 46.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.57% | 35.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.53% | 57.47% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.77% | 7.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.78% | 26.22% |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.28% | 49.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.54% | 84.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Venezia |
| 2-0 @ 12.4% 3-0 @ 10.86% 1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 8.67% 3-1 @ 7.59% 4-0 @ 7.14% 4-1 @ 4.99% 5-0 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 2.65% 5-1 @ 2.62% 4-2 @ 1.74% 6-0 @ 1.64% 6-1 @ 1.15% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.94% Total : 78.5% | 1-1 @ 6.6% 0-0 @ 3.59% 2-2 @ 3.03% Other @ 0.69% Total : 13.91% | 0-1 @ 2.51% 1-2 @ 2.31% Other @ 2.75% Total : 7.57% |