Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 78.51%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 7.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.86%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.6%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.