Serie A Gameweek 13
Nov 20, 2021 2.00pm
5
2
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Teun Koopmeiners 10' yellowcard
  • Mario Pasalic 18' goal
  • Duvan Zapata 38' goal
  • Mario Pasalic 41' goal
  • Mario Pasalic 71' yellowcard
  • Luis Muriel 83' goal
  • Ruslan Malinovskyi 89' goal
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Gyasi 5'
  • goal Mbala N'Zola 11'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Sala 36'
  • yellowcard Petko Hristov 49'
  • goal Mbala N'Zola 90'+1'

Atalanta BC vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Nov 6, 2021 7.45pm
Cagliari 1 - 2 Atalanta
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Mario Pasalic

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Nov 6, 2021 2.00pm
Spezia 1 - 0 Torino
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Daniele Verde

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 11.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 3-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result

Atalanta BC 71.66%
Draw 16.55%
Spezia 11.78%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.55%

Goals

Over 2.5 65.61%
Under 2.5 34.39%
Over 3.5 43.69%
Under 3.5 56.31%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 91.57%
Under 0.5 8.43%
Over 1.5 70.71%
Under 1.5 29.29%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 59.57%
Under 0.5 40.43%
Over 1.5 22.96%
Under 1.5 77.04%

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 71.66%
Draw 16.55%
Spezia 11.78%
Atalanta BC
2-0 @ 10.42%
2-1 @ 9.44%
3-0 @ 8.6%
1-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 7.79%
4-0 @ 5.32%
4-1 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 3.53%
5-0 @ 2.63%
5-1 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 2.18%
6-0 @ 1.08%
5-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 71.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 4.28%
0-0 @ 3.41%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.55%
Spezia
1-2 @ 3.46%
0-1 @ 3.09%
0-2 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.29%
1-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 11.78%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rafael Toloi 8' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 25' yellowcard
  • Mario Pasalic 54' goal
  • Luis Muriel 55' goal
  • Mario Pasalic 73' goal
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 82'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Nov 21, 2020 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matteo Ricci 3' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Estevez 28' yellowcard
  • Claudio Terzi 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin Gosens 38'
  • yellowcard Mario Pasalic 52'
  • yellowcard Matteo Pessina 85'