Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Torino |
| 36.39% | 27.09% | 36.53% |
| Both teams to score 50.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.29% | 54.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.97% | 76.03% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% | 28.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.25% | 64.75% |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% | 28.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% | 64.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 7.99% 2-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.38% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.31% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 10.35% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.52% |