Champions League
Oct 20, 2021 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Marcus Rashford 53' goal
  • Luke Shaw 64' yellowcard
  • Harry Maguire 75' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 81' goal
  • Nemanja Matic 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Mario Pasalic 15'
  • goal Merih Demiral 29'
  • yellowcard Matteo Lovato 55'
  • yellowcard Mario Pasalic 57'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 57'
  • yellowcard Jose Luis Palomino 80'

Manchester United vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 29, 2021 8.00pm
Man Utd 2 - 1 Villarreal

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 29, 2021 5.45pm
Atalanta 1 - 0 Young Boys

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 26.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result

Manchester United 45.03%
Draw 28.4%
Atalanta BC 26.57%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 38.01%
Under 2.5 61.99%
Over 3.5 18.27%
Under 3.5 81.73%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 72.47%
Under 0.5 27.52%
Over 1.5 36.96%
Under 1.5 63.04%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 60.16%
Under 0.5 39.84%
Over 1.5 23.5%
Under 1.5 76.5%

Score analysis

Manchester United 45.02%
Draw 28.4%
Atalanta BC 26.57%
Manchester United
1-0 @ 14.14%
2-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 8.4%
3-0 @ 3.92%
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.27%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 45.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.4%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 4.64%
1-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 26.57%

Build-up

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