Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Nov 7, 2021 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
3 - 2
Roma

Caldara (3'), Aramu (65' pen.), Okereke (74')
Kiyine (47'), Romero (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Shomurodov (43'), Abraham (45+2')
Karsdorp (17'), Abraham (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Venezia	Draw	Roma
27.66%	24.33%	48%

Both teams to score 56.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.09%

45.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.78%

68.22%

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.7%

30.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.53%

66.47%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.78%

19.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.08%

50.91%

Score Analysis

Venezia 27.66%

Roma 48%

Draw 24.33%

Venezia	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 6.95% 2-1 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 4.15% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 3.09% Total : 27.66%	1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 5.82% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.33%	0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 7.92% 1-3 @ 5.2% 0-3 @ 4.35% 2-3 @ 3.11% 1-4 @ 2.14% 0-4 @ 1.8% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.14% Total : 48%

How you voted: Venezia vs Roma

Venezia

13.3%

Draw

12.5%

Roma

74.2%