Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Salernitana |
| 48.34% | 26.55% | 25.1% |
| Both teams to score 47.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.44% | 56.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.46% | 77.54% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% | 23.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.55% | 57.45% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.91% | 38.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.14% | 74.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Salernitana |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% 2-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-0 @ 4.54% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.65% Total : 48.34% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.61% Total : 25.1% |