Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 76.95%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 3-0 (11.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Genoa |
| 76.95% | 15.26% | 7.78% |
| Both teams to score 42.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.65% | 41.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.25% | 63.75% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.06% | 8.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.47% | 30.52% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.69% | 53.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.15% | 86.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Genoa |
| 2-0 @ 13.89% 1-0 @ 11.5% 3-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 7.04% 4-0 @ 6.75% 4-1 @ 4.25% 5-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.21% 5-1 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.34% 6-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.41% Total : 76.93% | 1-1 @ 7.24% 0-0 @ 4.77% 2-2 @ 2.75% Other @ 0.51% Total : 15.26% | 0-1 @ 3% 1-2 @ 2.28% 0-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.56% Total : 7.78% |