Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Jan 9, 2022 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
0 - 3
AC Milan

Ceccaroni (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ibrahimovic (2'), Hernandez (48', 59' pen.)
Saelemaekers (5'), Gabbia (37'), Tonali (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Venezia and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 0-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Venezia win it was 2-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Venezia	Draw	AC Milan
18.07%	19.99%	61.93%

Both teams to score 58.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.87%

37.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.67%

59.33%

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.11%

33.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.43%

70.56%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.46%

11.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.54%

36.45%

Score Analysis

Venezia 18.07%

AC Milan 61.93%

Draw 19.99%

Venezia	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 4.94% 1-0 @ 4.23% 2-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.93% 3-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.9% Total : 18.07%	1-1 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 5.34% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.99%	1-2 @ 9.87% 0-2 @ 9.12% 0-1 @ 8.45% 1-3 @ 7.1% 0-3 @ 6.57% 2-3 @ 3.84% 1-4 @ 3.84% 0-4 @ 3.54% 2-4 @ 2.08% 1-5 @ 1.66% 0-5 @ 1.53% Other @ 4.35% Total : 61.93%

How you voted: Venezia vs AC Milan

Venezia

11.1%

Draw

9.0%

AC Milan

79.9%