Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Genoa |
70.82% | 17.1% | 12.08% |
Both teams to score 53.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.7% | 36.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.57% | 58.43% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.9% | 9.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.08% | 30.92% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.78% | 41.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.25% | 77.75% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 9% 3-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 7.63% 4-0 @ 5.16% 4-1 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 3.38% 5-0 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 2.03% 6-0 @ 0.99% 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.49% Total : 70.81% | 1-1 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 4.23% 0-0 @ 3.75% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.1% | 1-2 @ 3.53% 0-1 @ 3.33% 0-2 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.25% 1-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.46% Total : 12.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
> Serie A Full Table |