Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Jan 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
6 - 0
Genoa

Odriozola (15'), Bonaventura (34'), Biraghi (42', 69'), Vlahovic (51'), Torreira (77')
Torreira (74')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Calafiori (32'), Portanova (36'), Sturaro (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Genoa
70.82%	17.1%	12.08%

Both teams to score 53.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.7%

36.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.57%

58.43%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.9%

9.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.08%

30.92%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.78%

41.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.25%

77.75%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 70.81%

Genoa 12.08%

Draw 17.1%

Fiorentina	Draw	Genoa
2-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 9% 3-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 7.63% 4-0 @ 5.16% 4-1 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 3.38% 5-0 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 2.03% 6-0 @ 0.99% 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.49% Total : 70.81%	1-1 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 4.23% 0-0 @ 3.75% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.1%	1-2 @ 3.53% 0-1 @ 3.33% 0-2 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.25% 1-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.46% Total : 12.08%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Genoa

Fiorentina

84.6%

Draw

12.2%

Genoa

3.3%