Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Fiorentina |
45.48% | 25.75% | 28.77% |
Both teams to score 52.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.75% | 51.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% | 73.09% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.51% | 22.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.94% | 56.06% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.76% | 32.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.26% | 68.74% |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.48% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.21% 1-2 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
7 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
8 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |