Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 42.31% | 25.01% | 32.69% |
| Both teams to score 56.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.58% | 46.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.3% | 68.7% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% | 21.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.81% | 55.2% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.87% | 27.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.48% | 62.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 4.52% 3-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.31% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.76% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.69% |