Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match.