Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 4, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
2 - 3
Atalanta

Zielinski (40'), Mertens (47')
Rrahmani (58'), Malcuit (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Malinovskyi (7'), Demiral (66'), Freuler (71')
Malinovskyi (17'), Pasalic (82'), Djimsiti (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Atalanta BC
49.26%	22.51%	28.22%

Both teams to score 63.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.94%

37.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.74%

59.26%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.62%

15.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.83%

44.16%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.65%

25.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.86%

60.14%

Score Analysis

Napoli 49.26%

Atalanta BC 28.22%

Draw 22.51%

Napoli	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 9.38% 1-0 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 5.85% 3-0 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 4.02% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.98% Total : 49.26%	1-1 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 3.9% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.51%	1-2 @ 6.87% 0-1 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 1.68% 1-4 @ 1.08% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.48% Total : 28.22%

How you voted: Napoli vs Atalanta

Napoli

47.7%

Draw

26.7%

Atalanta BC

25.6%