Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.