Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.