Spezia

0 - 1

Bologna

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.