Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Roma |
| 32.79% | 23.38% | 43.83% |
| Both teams to score 62.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.24% | 38.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.93% | 61.06% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% | 23.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.63% | 57.37% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.92% | 18.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.01% | 48.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Roma |
| 2-1 @ 7.63% 1-0 @ 6.14% 2-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.79% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-1 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 6.19% 1-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 2.19% 2-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.76% Total : 43.83% |