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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Spezia Calcio logo

Genoa
0 - 1
Spezia


Ekuban (5'), Destro (16'), Vasquez (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bastoni (14')
Manaj (55'), Maggiore (82'), Amian (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Genoa 1-1 Spezia

Neither side can afford to drop any points against their relegation rivals, with a tight contest expected on Sunday afternoon. Without much in the way to separate the two sides, expect the shares to be spoiled in this crucial relegation clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawSpezia
45.49%25.55%28.97%
Both teams to score 53.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69%50.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74%72.26%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91%22.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.55%55.45%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.39%31.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.98%68.02%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 45.48%
    Spezia 28.97%
    Draw 25.54%
GenoaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-0 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.98%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 8.04%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 4.63%
1-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 28.97%

How you voted: Genoa vs Spezia

Genoa
58.3%
Draw
31.7%
Spezia
10.0%
60
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Spezia
1-1
Genoa
Sirigu (66' og.)
Bastoni (55'), Provedel (85')
Criscito (86' pen.)
Biraschi (60'), Kallon (65'), Caicedo (79'), Masiello (89')
Apr 24, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 33
Genoa
2-0
Spezia
Scamacca (62'), Shomurodov (86')
Criscito (18'), Pandev (32')
Ballardini (86')

Terzi (2'), N'Zola (37')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Spezia
1-2
Genoa
N'Zola (10')
Erlic (2'), Chabot (5'), Terzi (72')
Destro (16'), Criscito (73' pen.)
Pandev (33'), Ghiglione (43'), Destro (70'), Zajc (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29244171145776
2AC Milan29195555332262
3Juventus29178444232159
4Bologna29159542251754
5Roma29156855352051
6Atalanta BCAtalanta28145951321947
7Napoli29129844331145
8Fiorentina2812794132943
9Lazio29134123633343
10Monza2911993236-442
11Torino29101182826241
12Genoa29810113136-534
13Lecce29610132645-1928
14Udinese29415102844-1627
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2968152639-1326
16CagliariCagliari2968152950-2126
17Empoli2967162243-2125
18FrosinoneFrosinone2966173760-2324
19SassuoloSassuolo2965183356-2323
20Salernitana2928192359-3614


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