Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Jan 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
0 - 1
Spezia

Ekuban (5'), Destro (16'), Vasquez (54')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bastoni (14')
Manaj (55'), Maggiore (82'), Amian (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Spezia
45.49%	25.55%	28.97%

Both teams to score 53.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.69%

50.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.74%

72.26%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.91%

22.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.55%

55.45%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.39%

31.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.98%

68.02%

Score Analysis

Genoa 45.48%

Spezia 28.97%

Draw 25.54%

Genoa	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.48%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.98% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 4.63% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.97%

How you voted: Genoa vs Spezia

Genoa

58.3%

Draw

31.7%

Spezia

10.0%