Coppa Italia
Dec 16, 2021 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Strelec 6' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 30' yellowcard
  • Aurelien Nguiamba 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kastriot Dermaku 17'
  • yellowcard Antonio Barreca 35'
  • goal Marcin Listkowski 43'
  • yellowcard Pablo Rodriguez 49'
  • goal Arturo Calabresi 55'
  • yellowcard Alexis Blin 90'+2'

Spezia vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Lecce

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 51.47%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.

Result

Spezia 25.46%
Draw 23.07%
Lecce 51.47%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.62%

Goals

Over 2.5 58.04%
Under 2.5 41.96%
Over 3.5 35.64%
Under 3.5 64.36%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 70.11%
Under 0.5 29.9%
Over 1.5 34.01%
Under 1.5 65.99%

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 83.61%
Under 0.5 16.39%
Over 1.5 53.98%
Under 1.5 46.03%

Score analysis

Spezia 25.46%
Draw 23.06%
Lecce 51.47%
Spezia
2-1 @ 6.46%
1-0 @ 5.92%
2-0 @ 3.57%
3-1 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.35%
3-0 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 25.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 5.84%
0-0 @ 4.9%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.06%
Lecce
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-1 @ 8.86%
0-2 @ 8.01%
1-3 @ 5.83%
0-3 @ 4.83%
2-3 @ 3.52%
1-4 @ 2.64%
0-4 @ 2.19%
2-4 @ 1.59%
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 51.47%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 38
May 11, 2019 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (Lecce)
  • Jacopo Petriccione 9' goal
  • Fabio Lucioni 13' yellowcard
  • Andrea La Mantia 27' goal
  • yellowcard Matteo Ricci 52'
  • goal Elio Capradossi 83'
Serie B Gameweek 19
Dec 30, 2018 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)
  • Matteo Ricci 13' goal
  • Luca Vignali 41' yellowcard
  • Luca Mora 48' yellowcard
  • Elio Capradossi 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cesare Bovo 28'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Petriccione 55'
  • goal Manuel Scavone 68'
  • yellowcard Simone Palombi 72'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Venuti 74'