Serie B | Gameweek 15

Nov 30, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Paolo Mazza

SPAL
1 - 3
Lecce

Colombo (41')
Da Riva (8'), Celia (34'), Colombo (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gargiulo (23'), Espeto (51', 77')
Gargiulo (15'), Di Mariano (68'), Rodriguez (87')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Lecce.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Lecce
34.38%	25.5%	40.11%

Both teams to score 55.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.79%

48.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.63%

70.37%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04%

26.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.7%

62.3%

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.22%

23.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.06%

57.94%

Score Analysis

SPAL 34.38%

Lecce 40.11%

Draw 25.5%

SPAL	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 8.4% 2-1 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.38%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 9.21% 1-2 @ 8.67% 0-2 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.11%

How you voted: SPAL vs Lecce

SPAL

40.0%

Draw

60.0%

Lecce

0.0%

SPAL1 - 3Lecce

Data Analysis

How you voted: SPAL vs Lecce

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SPAL
1 - 3
Lecce