Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
