Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Lecce.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 49%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for an Ascoli win it was 1-0 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | Lecce |
| 24.84% | 26.16% | 49% |
| Both teams to score 48.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.7% | 55.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.48% | 76.52% |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.37% | 37.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.6% | 74.4% |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.39% | 22.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.78% | 56.22% |
| Score Analysis |
Ascoli 24.84%
Lecce 48.99%
Draw 26.15%
| Ascoli | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 8.32% 2-1 @ 6.04% 2-0 @ 4.06% 3-1 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.46% 3-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.67% Total : 24.84% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 12.64% 0-2 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-3 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 4.56% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-4 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.89% Total : 48.99% |


