Crotone logo
Serie B | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Ezio Scida
Lecce logo

Crotone
0 - 3
Lecce


Estevez (20')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Di Mariano (4', 23'), Espeto (69')
Tuia (29'), Gargiulo (72')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Crotone and Lecce.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.

Result
CrotoneDrawLecce
32.39%27.57%40.04%
Both teams to score 48.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.97%57.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.08%77.92%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37%32.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83%69.17%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13%27.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53%63.47%
Score Analysis
    Crotone 32.39%
    Lecce 40.03%
    Draw 27.57%
CrotoneDrawLecce
1-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 7.29%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.39%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 9.09%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 11.61%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 7.42%
1-3 @ 3.54%
0-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 40.03%