Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crotone | Draw | Fiorentina |
30.88% | 24.97% | 44.14% |
Both teams to score 56.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.06% | 46.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.81% | 69.19% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.45% | 28.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.66% | 64.34% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.71% | 21.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.77% | 54.23% |
Score Analysis |
Crotone | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 7.62% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.88% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 9.12% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 4.7% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.95% 1-4 @ 1.82% 0-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 60 | 83 |
2 | AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 63 |
4 | Bologna | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
6 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
8 | Napoli | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
9 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Monza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 32 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Udinese | 31 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 27 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |