Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crotone | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 30.88% | 24.97% | 44.14% |
| Both teams to score 56.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.06% | 46.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.81% | 69.19% |
| Crotone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% | 28.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.66% | 64.34% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% | 21.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.77% | 54.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crotone | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 7.62% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.88% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 9.12% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 4.7% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.95% 1-4 @ 1.82% 0-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.14% |