Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Ascoli.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 63.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 14.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perugia | Draw | Ascoli |
| 63.7% | 21.49% | 14.81% |
| Both teams to score 46.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.27% | 49.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.26% | 71.73% |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.04% | 14.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.62% | 43.38% |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.41% | 45.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.6% | 81.4% |
| Score Analysis |
Perugia 63.69%
Ascoli 14.81%
Draw 21.48%
| Perugia | Draw | Ascoli |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% 2-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 6.12% 4-0 @ 3.7% 4-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.41% 5-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.14% 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.19% Total : 63.69% | 1-1 @ 10.17% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.48% | 0-1 @ 5.36% 1-2 @ 4% 0-2 @ 2.1% 1-3 @ 1.05% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.31% Total : 14.81% |


