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Serie B | Gameweek 34
Apr 16, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza

SPAL
1 - 2
Ascoli

Valoti (26')
Tomovic (14')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sabiri (42'), Bajic (53')
Buchel (45+3'), Quaranta (90+3'), Dionisi (90+6')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Ascoli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
SPALDrawAscoli
42.32%27.38%30.3%
Both teams to score 48.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.07%56.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.16%77.84%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42%26.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2%61.8%
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92%34.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23%70.76%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 42.31%
    Ascoli 30.3%
    Draw 27.39%
SPALDrawAscoli
1-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.31%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 9.06%
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-2 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.3%

rhs 2.0


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