Venezia
Serie B | Gameweek 38
Jul 31, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Perugia logo

Venezia
3 - 1
Perugia

Aramu (42' pen., 52'), Capello (65')
Lakicevic (31'), Longo (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sgarbi (69')
Mazzocchi (41'), Capone (83')
Angella (86')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Venezia and Perugia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
VeneziaDrawPerugia
35.41%27.51%37.07%
Both teams to score 49.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.57%56.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.56%77.43%
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68%30.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49%66.5%
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7%29.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73%65.27%
Score Analysis
    Venezia 35.41%
    Perugia 37.06%
    Draw 27.51%
VeneziaDrawPerugia
1-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 6.33%
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-0 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 35.41%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 8.88%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.9%
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 6.69%
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 37.06%