Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cosenza Calcio and Perugia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cosenza Calcio win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cosenza Calcio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cosenza Calcio | Draw | Perugia |
| 40.03% | 27.92% | 32.06% |
| Both teams to score 47.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.62% | 58.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.01% | 78.99% |
| Cosenza Calcio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% | 28.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% | 64.3% |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.44% | 33.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.79% | 70.21% |
| Score Analysis |
Cosenza Calcio 40.02%
Perugia 32.06%
Draw 27.92%
| Cosenza Calcio | Draw | Perugia |
| 1-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 7.53% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.73% Total : 40.02% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.57% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.06% |


